HOW BEST TO USE TOWERFORM RATINGS
Document (1) here
Document (2) here
Document (3) here
Document (4) here

TOWERFORM DOCUMENT PART 5

SEVEN WAYS TO USE THE RATINGS BLINDLY


If you can't find anything to bet from the main bets or general betting using the steps we've covered, there are various ways you can dip into the ratings and profit by using them blindly, but very sparingly. Some of the pin-sticking methods we list below can be adapted to suit your own approach. Don't rush headlong in to using them today. Check them first. Paper-trade them for while. Adapt them to suit your own needs and inclinations. If you want to use them, use them in the way that suits you best. We include recommended staking which is meant simply as a guide to how you may like to stake your bets.

1:  STOP AT A PROFIT:
Look at all 8 to 14 declared runner Class 4 and above races up to 8.5 f (20.5f NH) except those races that have at least one third debutantes - regardless of their race title. Back the top rated of each race as it arrives through the day from the first race of the day (split the stake on joint tops).
(Suggestion) Bet for a maximum five point loss. As soon as you reach a profit or a five points loss, stop betting.
2:  ROLLING DOUBLES:
Rolling double the top rated from the first race of the day (i.e. 2-10, 2-20,
2-30, you double the top rated in the 2-10 with the top rated in the 2-20, then the top rated in the 2-20 with the top rated in the 2-30, and so on). For joint tops, split the stake to a half point.
(Suggestion) As soon as you reach a profit or a five points loss, stop betting. There will be no more than 6 rolling double bets a day (nine races).
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3:  DUTCHING NOVICES:
Dutch the top three rated in all 2-Y-O and novice and maiden hurdles and chases. Oddschecker has a good dutching programme on site which is adequate for this type of betting.
(Suggestion) As soon as you reach a profit or a two consecutive dutch loss, stop betting.
4:  DUTCHING GENERAL:
Look at all 8 to 14 declared runner Class 4 and above races up to 8.5 f (20.5f NH) except those races where at least one third of runners are debutantes. Dutch the top two rated. If joints bet the joint top rated. If the second top is joint second, bet the lower SP forecasted horse or the first in the list if they are equal in the forecast.
(Suggestion) As soon as you reach a profit or a two consecutive dutch loss, stop betting.
5:  DUTCHING SPECIFIC:
Dutch the top three rated in all Main Bet races. If joints bet the joint top rated. If the second top is joint second, bet the lower SP forecasted horse or the first in the list if they are equal in the forecast.
(Suggestion) As soon as you reach a profit or a two consecutive dutch loss, stop betting.
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6:  PLACE BETTING:
Back the top rated in each race to place starting with the first race of the day. Bet to a maximum five point loss.
(Suggestion) As soon as you reach a profit or a five point loss, stop betting.
7:  BETTING TO THE MARKET:
This needs you to bet live. Look at the top three rated marks (sometimes four horses). Watch the market with an eye to these horses. Bet any top 3 rated horse that reduces in price by the amounts shown in the grids below. If other horses outside the top 3 also reduce by the below amounts, the race will be a no bet race.
(Suggestion) As soon as you reach a profit or a five point loss, stop betting.

 

Fractional

 

 

Decimal

 

10/1 

to

8/1

11.00  

to

9.00

9/1 

to

15/2

10.00 

to

8.50

17/2 

to

7/1

9.50

to

8.00

8/1 

to

13/2

9.00

to

7.50

15/2 

to

6/1

8.50

to

7.00

7/1 

to

11/2

8.00  

to

6.50

13/2 

to

5/1

7.50

to

6.00

6/1 

to

9/2

7.00 

to

5.50

11/2 

to

4/1

6.50  

to

5.00

5/1 

to

7/2

6.00

to

4.50

9/2 

to

3/1

5.50

to

4.00

4/1 

to

5/2

5.00

to

3.50

7/2 

to

2/1

4.50 

to

3.00

100/30 

to

15/8

4.33

to

2.88

3/1 

to

7/4

4.00 

to

2.75

11/4 

to

13/8

3.75

to

2.63

5/2 

to

6/4

3.50  

to

2.50

9/4 

to

11/8

3.25 

to

2.38

85/40

to

6/5

3.13 

to

2.20

2/1 

to

11/10

3.00 

to

2.10

An alternative to watch out for is when a lowly rated horse is gambled on. Our advice would be to either bet the lowly rated horse or leave the race well alone………….. As with everything betting, the above is not a quick route to a Seychelles beach hut. There are good days and losing days. Monitor them and we are sure you'll find a way to use them to the best effect for your own purposes.

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LAYING
First up, we don't lay horses. We see no point. It is hard enough betting winners without trying also to bet losers. Apologies, but we find the whole subject a bit amusing. When the exchanges arrived almost everyone rushed headlong in to them, many with the thought that it was easy to back losers. Sadly, many found to their cost that it wasn't that easy to make a profit. A few make good money from laying horses to lose, but only as many as make a profit betting horses to win. By Betfair's own figures the percentages of exchange winning punters to losing punters is roughly the same as those who bet with the normal bookmakers. So don't expect profit from laying on the exchanges to be any easier than betting to win with the bookies. If you use the exchanges, use them as you would use a bookie: for winning and placing.

If laying is indeed your "scene", we recommend you never use a single source for your lays. If you find an edge, it will be because you have used a variety of sources AND your own knowledge and intuition - or, indeed, you are using a subscription service. We don't envisage ourselves providing such a service.

LAYING IN RUNNING
We are astounded at some quoted in-running prices. It saddens us that most in-running bettors seem to have little idea about how certain horses run. It's the only answer we have to account for some of the in-running ridiculous prices we see. We've mentioned before about getting to know a horse's running style and we repeat it here. We've seen hold up horses being bet in-running to low odds to win slow paced races. Such layers should stop such betting immediately. It's not their game.

Another unfortunate aspect is that the modern crop of commentators has mistaken the word commentating for commenting. Far, far too many times we hear them talking about "swinging off the bridle", "tanking along", "ready to pounce", "stalking the leader", "has the leader firmly in his sights", and so many more too numerous to mention. The result frequently is that quite a few such horses end up well beaten. IGNORE ALL SUCH COMMENTS. Make up your own mind. Practice until you are confident your impression and not the commentator's impression is correct. For a while you could practice naming the winner two furlongs or three obstacles out. You'll be surprised how many times a horse appearing to be going well, ends up getting beaten by a few lengths. Sadly, far too many ally what they see to the commentator's words and weigh in as though their hard earned pounds were worthless. The bottom line is: IF YOU DON'T KNOW EXACTLY HOW A HORSE RUNS ITS RACES, YOU SHOULD NOT BET IN-RUNNING REGARDLESS OF WHAT YOU OR THE COMMENTATOR SEES. Research is the key as it is with all betting. Some punters seem to disregard this when laying in-running. To see how to assess laying in running you would do well to read Matt Williams on the Racing Post website. He would never pretend to get it right every time but the logic he uses is as good as you'll find anywhere. The in running notes he writes are worth their weight in gold.
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More in a few days………


Document 1 here
Document 2 here
Document 3 here
Document 4 here

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